La escuela de los momios

Trabzonspor v Basaksehir

Inicio: 2026-04-19 17:04 UTC

Final: Trabzonspor 1–1 Basaksehir

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Trabzonspor (Local)

Predicción 50.84%1.97momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.971%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.18%50.87%50.50%52.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.831.851.9358.48%54.63%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Basaksehir (Visitante)

Predicción 25.41%3.94momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.405%
Kelly +0.540%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.39%25.31%25.73%26.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.633.604.0029.85%27.54%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.75%4.21momio equitativo
EV +0.708%
Ventaja +0.167%
Kelly +0.218%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.89%23.82%23.77%25.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.813.804.2430.30%26.24%26.32%23.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +1.62%E +0.405%K +0.540%G +0.009%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 17:00
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.19%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.32%EV +0.859%E +0.216%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.49%EV -2.38%E -0.579%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 16:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -0.920%E -0.236%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -0.920%E -0.236%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:01
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.19%E -0.569%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 16:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:00
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.97%E -4.41%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 17:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 17:01
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -10.01%E -5.65%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 17:00
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 17:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 17:00
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -3.40%E -1.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.02%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.89%EV +0.708%E +0.167%K +0.218%G +0.002%3.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 17:00
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -1.87%E -0.971%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -7.02%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.52%EV -7.61%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:00
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV -5.43%E -2.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 17:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:01
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:59
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:01
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -13.31%E -3.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.21%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:58
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:58
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:59
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 17:01
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 17:01
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 17:01
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -12.04%E -6.96%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -21.62%E -6.55%K -9.40%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.57%EV -11.53%E -6.63%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -14.89%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 50.37%EV -13.06%E -7.64%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.71%EV -14.89%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 17:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-04-19 17:01
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.5%2026-04-19 17:01
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%2.9%2026-04-19 17:01
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 46.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.27%15.0%2026-04-19 17:01