La scuola delle quote

Trabzonspor v Basaksehir

Inizio: 2026-04-19 17:04 UTC

Finale: Trabzonspor 1–1 Basaksehir

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Trabzonspor (Casa)

Previsione 50.84%1.97quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -0.971%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.18%50.87%50.50%52.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.831.851.9358.48%54.63%54.05%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Basaksehir (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.41%3.94quota equa
EV +1.62%
Vantaggio +0.405%
Kelly +0.540%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.39%25.31%25.73%26.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.633.604.0029.85%27.54%27.78%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.75%4.21quota equa
EV +0.708%
Vantaggio +0.167%
Kelly +0.218%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.89%23.82%23.77%25.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.813.804.2430.30%26.24%26.32%23.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +1.62%E +0.405%K +0.540%G +0.009%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 17:00
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.19%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.32%EV +0.859%E +0.216%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.49%EV -2.38%E -0.579%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 16:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -0.920%E -0.236%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -0.920%E -0.236%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:01
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.19%E -0.569%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 16:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:00
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.97%E -4.41%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 17:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 17:01
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -10.01%E -5.65%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 17:00
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 17:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 17:00
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -3.40%E -1.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.02%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.89%EV +0.708%E +0.167%K +0.218%G +0.002%3.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 17:00
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -1.87%E -0.971%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -7.02%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.52%EV -7.61%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:00
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV -5.43%E -2.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 17:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:01
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:59
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:01
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -13.31%E -3.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.21%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:58
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:58
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:59
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 17:01
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 17:01
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 17:01
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -12.04%E -6.96%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -21.62%E -6.55%K -9.40%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.57%EV -11.53%E -6.63%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -14.89%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 50.37%EV -13.06%E -7.64%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.71%EV -14.89%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 17:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-04-19 17:01
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.5%2026-04-19 17:01
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%2.9%2026-04-19 17:01
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 46.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.27%15.0%2026-04-19 17:01