مدرسة الاحتمالات

Trabzonspor v Basaksehir

البداية: 2026-04-19 17:04 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Trabzonspor 1–1 Basaksehir

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Trabzonspor (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.84%1.97السعر العادل
EV -1.87%
الأفضلية -0.971%
Kelly -2.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.18%50.87%50.50%52.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.831.851.9358.48%54.63%54.05%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Basaksehir (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.41%3.94السعر العادل
EV +1.62%
الأفضلية +0.405%
Kelly +0.540%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.39%25.31%25.73%26.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.633.604.0029.85%27.54%27.78%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.75%4.21السعر العادل
EV +0.708%
الأفضلية +0.167%
Kelly +0.218%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.89%23.82%23.77%25.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.813.804.2430.30%26.24%26.32%23.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV +1.62%E +0.405%K +0.540%G +0.009%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 17:00
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.19%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.32%EV +0.859%E +0.216%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.49%EV -2.38%E -0.579%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 16:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -0.920%E -0.236%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -0.920%E -0.236%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:01
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -2.19%E -0.569%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 16:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:00
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -7.97%E -4.41%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 17:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 17:01
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -10.01%E -5.65%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.46%E -0.911%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 17:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.48%E -4.71%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 17:00
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 17:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -4.04%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 17:00
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -3.40%E -1.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.02%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.89%EV +0.708%E +0.167%K +0.218%G +0.002%3.0%2026-04-19 16:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 17:00
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -1.87%E -0.971%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -7.02%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.52%EV -7.61%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:00
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.64%EV -5.43%E -2.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 17:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:01
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 16:59
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 17:01
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -13.31%E -3.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.21%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 16:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:58
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:58
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:59
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 17:01
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.96%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -7.47%E -4.10%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 17:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -9.50%E -5.34%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -12.35%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 17:01
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -5.94%E -3.21%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 17:01
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -11.02%E -6.30%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -12.04%E -6.96%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -21.62%E -6.55%K -9.40%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-19 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.57%EV -11.53%E -6.63%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -14.89%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 17:00
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 50.37%EV -13.06%E -7.64%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.71%EV -14.89%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.92%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 17:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-04-19 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-04-19 17:01
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.5%2026-04-19 17:01
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%2.9%2026-04-19 17:01
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 46.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.27%15.0%2026-04-19 17:01