Language:English
Galatasaray v Kocaelispor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galatasaray (Local)
Prediction 74.10%1.35fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -9.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.07%74.03%74.06%75.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.251.3182.64%79.63%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kocaelispor (Visit)
Prediction 9.19%10.88fair odd
EV +5.68%
Edge +0.494%
Kelly +0.541%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.08%9.19%9.29%11.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.9410.0011.5012.50%10.06%10.00%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.71%5.99fair odd
EV +0.244%
Edge +0.041%
Kelly +0.049%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.70%16.78%16.65%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.515.506.0020.00%18.16%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galatasaray (Local): 74.10%; Kocaelispor (Visit): 9.19%; Draw: 16.71%. For Kocaelispor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.88. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.23%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV +5.68%E +0.494%K +0.541%G +0.031% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.83%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 11.48I 8.71%NM 8.08%EV +5.50%E +0.479%K +0.525%G +0.029% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.09%EV -9.28%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.83%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 11.48I 8.71%NM 8.08%EV +5.50%E +0.479%K +0.525%G +0.029% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.09%EV -9.28%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 11.43I 8.75%NM 8.43%EV +5.04%E +0.441%K +0.483%G +0.024% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.28%EV -1.09%E -0.185%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.38%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 11.30I 8.85%NM 8.47%EV +3.85%E +0.340%K +0.373%G +0.014% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.14%EV -0.926%E -0.156%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +1.09%E +0.099%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:36 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.09%E +0.099%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.27%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -4.77%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.27%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -4.77%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.53%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +0.244%E +0.041%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 16:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 16:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.05%EV -2.93%E -2.23%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 10.39I 9.62%NM 9.34%EV -4.52%E -0.435%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.61%EV -2.43%E -0.416%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.93%EV -6.63%E -5.26%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.13%EV -6.26%E -0.614%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 16:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:26 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:26 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:26 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 16:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.29%E -2.34%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27%EV -6.63%E -5.26%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -10.40%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.26%EV -10.62%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 16:47 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 16:51 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.78%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 16:41 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.37%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -13.12%E -2.52%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.53%EV -10.34%E -8.54%K -49.22%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -13.12%E -2.52%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-13 16:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -14.99%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -14.99%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 16:26 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -21.89%E -2.57%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -21.89%E -2.57%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-13 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -8.85%E -7.20%K -38.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -26.48%E -3.31%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -9.78%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.44% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.35% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 16:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 16:56 |