Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Galatasaray v Kocaelispor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 17:00 UTC

Score final : Galatasaray 1–0 Kocaelispor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Galatasaray (Local)

Prévision 74.10%1.35cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -9.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.07%74.03%74.06%75.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.261.251.3182.64%79.63%80.00%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kocaelispor (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.19%10.88cote équitable
EV +5.68%
Avantage +0.494%
Kelly +0.541%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 11.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.08%9.19%9.29%11.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.009.9410.0011.5012.50%10.06%10.00%8.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.71%5.99cote équitable
EV +0.244%
Avantage +0.041%
Kelly +0.049%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.70%16.78%16.65%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.515.506.0020.00%18.16%18.18%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Galatasaray (Local) : 74.10% ; Kocaelispor (Visiteur) : 9.19% ; Match nul : 16.71%. Pour Kocaelispor (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.88. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 11.50, soit une espérance positive de +5.68%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.23%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV +5.68%E +0.494%K +0.541%G +0.031%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 16:45
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.83%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%11.48I 8.71%NM 8.08%EV +5.50%E +0.479%K +0.525%G +0.029%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.09%EV -9.28%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.83%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%11.48I 8.71%NM 8.08%EV +5.50%E +0.479%K +0.525%G +0.029%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.09%EV -9.28%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%11.43I 8.75%NM 8.43%EV +5.04%E +0.441%K +0.483%G +0.024%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.28%EV -1.09%E -0.185%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 16:55
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.38%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.47%EV +3.85%E +0.340%K +0.373%G +0.014%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.14%EV -0.926%E -0.156%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:46
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +1.09%E +0.099%K +0.109%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.09%E +0.099%K +0.109%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.27%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -4.77%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:41
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.27%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -4.77%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:41
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.53%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +0.244%E +0.041%K +0.049%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 16:51
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 16:49
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.05%EV -2.93%E -2.23%K -9.44%G +0.000%10.39I 9.62%NM 9.34%EV -4.52%E -0.435%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.61%EV -2.43%E -0.416%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 16:40
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.93%EV -6.63%E -5.26%K -25.50%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.13%EV -6.26%E -0.614%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 16:36
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:21
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:41
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:46
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 16:46
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 16:51
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.29%E -2.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:40
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 16:55
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27%EV -6.63%E -5.26%K -25.50%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -10.40%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.26%EV -10.62%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 16:47
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.78%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 16:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.37%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -13.12%E -2.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.53%EV -10.34%E -8.54%K -49.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -13.12%E -2.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 16:51
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 16:46
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -14.99%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -14.99%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:26
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -21.89%E -2.57%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -21.89%E -2.57%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -8.85%E -7.20%K -38.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -26.48%E -3.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -9.78%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 16:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.44%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%0.4%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-09-13 16:55
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.35%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.7%2026-09-13 16:55
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%0.9%2026-09-13 16:51
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-09-13 16:56