Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Galatasaray v Kocaelispor

Początek: 2026-09-13 17:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Galatasaray 1–0 Kocaelispor

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Galatasaray (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 74.10%1.35kurs godziwy
EV -2.93%
Przewaga -2.23%
Kelly -9.44%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.31

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.07%74.03%74.06%75.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.211.261.251.3182.64%79.63%80.00%76.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kocaelispor (Goście)

Prognoza 9.19%10.88kurs godziwy
EV +5.68%
Przewaga +0.494%
Kelly +0.541%
Wzrost +0.031%

przy maksymalnym kursie 11.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
8.08%9.19%9.29%11.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
8.009.9410.0011.5012.50%10.06%10.00%8.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 16.71%5.99kurs godziwy
EV +0.244%
Przewaga +0.041%
Kelly +0.049%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.70%16.78%16.65%18.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.515.506.0020.00%18.16%18.18%16.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Galatasaray (Gospodarze): 74.10%; Kocaelispor (Goście): 9.19%; Remis: 16.71%. Dla wyniku Kocaelispor (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 10.88. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 11.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.68%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.23%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV +5.68%E +0.494%K +0.541%G +0.031%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 16:45
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.83%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%11.48I 8.71%NM 8.08%EV +5.50%E +0.479%K +0.525%G +0.029%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.09%EV -9.28%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.83%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%11.48I 8.71%NM 8.08%EV +5.50%E +0.479%K +0.525%G +0.029%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.09%EV -9.28%E -1.71%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%11.43I 8.75%NM 8.43%EV +5.04%E +0.441%K +0.483%G +0.024%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.28%EV -1.09%E -0.185%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 16:55
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.38%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.47%EV +3.85%E +0.340%K +0.373%G +0.014%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.14%EV -0.926%E -0.156%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:46
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +1.09%E +0.099%K +0.109%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV +1.09%E +0.099%K +0.109%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.27%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -4.77%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:41
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.27%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -4.77%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:41
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.53%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +0.244%E +0.041%K +0.049%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 16:51
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -3.51%E -0.334%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 16:49
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.05%EV -2.93%E -2.23%K -9.44%G +0.000%10.39I 9.62%NM 9.34%EV -4.52%E -0.435%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.61%EV -2.43%E -0.416%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 16:40
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.93%EV -6.63%E -5.26%K -25.50%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.13%EV -6.26%E -0.614%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 16:36
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:21
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:26
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:41
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:46
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.64%EV -5.89%E -4.64%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 16:46
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -3.93%E -0.684%K -0.828%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 16:51
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -12.29%E -2.34%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:40
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -8.10%E -0.810%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 16:55
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.27%EV -6.63%E -5.26%K -25.50%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -10.40%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.26%EV -10.62%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 16:47
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -9.78%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -7.37%E -5.90%K -29.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 16:41
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.37%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -13.12%E -2.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.53%EV -10.34%E -8.54%K -49.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -13.12%E -2.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 16:51
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -12.70%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 16:46
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -14.99%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.93%EV -5.15%E -4.02%K -18.39%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.09%EV -14.99%E -1.62%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -8.11%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:26
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -17.29%E -1.92%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -11.45%E -2.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.14%EV -8.11%E -6.54%K -33.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -21.89%E -2.57%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -6.44%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -9.59%E -7.86%K -43.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -21.89%E -2.57%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -16.46%E -3.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -8.85%E -7.20%K -38.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -26.48%E -3.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -9.78%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 16:46
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.44%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%0.4%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.81%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-09-13 16:55
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.35%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.7%2026-09-13 16:55
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%0.9%2026-09-13 16:51
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-09-13 16:56