Language:English
Fenerbahce v Çaykur Rizespor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prediction 70.80%1.41fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -12.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.67%70.78%71.04%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.301.3580.65%77.39%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Çaykur Rizespor (Visit)
Prediction 11.82%8.46fair odd
EV +12.34%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.179%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.94%11.86%11.73%14.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.338.509.5015.38%12.00%11.76%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.37%5.76fair odd
EV +5.27%
Edge +0.869%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.055%
assuming max odds 6.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.74%17.37%17.23%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.365.506.0622.22%18.66%18.18%16.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce (Local): 70.80%; Çaykur Rizespor (Visit): 11.82%; Draw: 17.37%. For Çaykur Rizespor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.46. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +12.34%E +1.30%K +1.45%G +0.179% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +12.34%E +1.30%K +1.45%G +0.179% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.61%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.48%EV +8.79%E +0.955%K +1.07%G +0.094% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.91%EV +5.27%E +0.869%K +1.04%G +0.055% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.63%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.57%EV +8.20%E +0.896%K +1.01%G +0.082% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.81%EV -5.68%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.37%E -7.32%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV +4.22%E +0.704%K +0.845%G +0.036% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.76%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -9.37%E -7.32%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -0.120%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.08%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.55%EV -4.81%E -0.598%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.83%E -4.85%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -8.36%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%EV -9.07%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.81%EV -3.77%E -0.680%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%EV -9.07%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.81%EV -3.77%E -0.680%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.81%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -12.50%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.52%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.38%EV -14.27%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -18.36%E -3.91%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -17.23%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -17.23%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -17.49%E -3.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.19%EV -18.41%E -2.67%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -14.02%E -2.83%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 16:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -23.14%E -3.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-17 17:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.55% | 2.8% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |