L’École des cotesFrançais
Fenerbahce v Çaykur Rizespor
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prévision 70.80%1.41cote équitable
EV -4.41%
Avantage -3.27%
Kelly -12.61%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.67%70.78%71.04%73.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.291.301.3580.65%77.39%76.92%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Çaykur Rizespor (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.82%8.46cote équitable
EV +12.34%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.179%
avec la cote maximale 9.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.94%11.86%11.73%14.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.508.338.509.5015.38%12.00%11.76%10.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.37%5.76cote équitable
EV +5.27%
Avantage +0.869%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.055%
avec la cote maximale 6.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.74%17.37%17.23%19.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.365.506.0622.22%18.66%18.18%16.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +12.34%E +1.30%K +1.45%G +0.179% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +12.34%E +1.30%K +1.45%G +0.179% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.61%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.48%EV +8.79%E +0.955%K +1.07%G +0.094% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.91%EV +5.27%E +0.869%K +1.04%G +0.055% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.63%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.57%EV +8.20%E +0.896%K +1.01%G +0.082% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.81%EV -5.68%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.37%E -7.32%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV +4.22%E +0.704%K +0.845%G +0.036% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.76%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -9.37%E -7.32%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -0.120%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.08%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.55%EV -4.81%E -0.598%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.83%E -4.85%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -8.36%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%EV -9.07%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.81%EV -3.77%E -0.680%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%EV -9.07%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.81%EV -3.77%E -0.680%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.81%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -12.50%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.52%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.38%EV -14.27%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -18.36%E -3.91%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -17.23%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -17.23%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -17.49%E -3.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.19%EV -18.41%E -2.67%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -14.02%E -2.83%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 16:58 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -23.14%E -3.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:01 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-17 17:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.55% | 2.8% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |