La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Fenerbahce v Çaykur Rizespor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fenerbahce (Local)
Predicción 70.80%1.41momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -3.27%
Kelly -12.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.67%70.78%71.04%73.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.291.301.3580.65%77.39%76.92%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Çaykur Rizespor (Visitante)
Predicción 11.82%8.46momio equitativo
EV +12.34%
Ventaja +1.30%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.179%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.94%11.86%11.73%14.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.508.338.509.5015.38%12.00%11.76%10.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.37%5.76momio equitativo
EV +5.27%
Ventaja +0.869%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.055%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.74%17.37%17.23%19.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.365.506.0622.22%18.66%18.18%16.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +12.34%E +1.30%K +1.45%G +0.179% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +12.34%E +1.30%K +1.45%G +0.179% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.61%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.48%EV +8.79%E +0.955%K +1.07%G +0.094% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.91%EV +5.27%E +0.869%K +1.04%G +0.055% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.63%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.57%EV +8.20%E +0.896%K +1.01%G +0.082% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.81%EV -5.68%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.37%E -7.32%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV +4.22%E +0.704%K +0.845%G +0.036% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.76%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -9.37%E -7.32%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -0.120%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.08%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.55%EV -4.81%E -0.598%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.83%E -4.85%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -8.36%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%EV -9.07%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.81%EV -3.77%E -0.680%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%EV -9.07%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.81%EV -3.77%E -0.680%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.81%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -12.50%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.52%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.38%EV -14.27%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -18.36%E -3.91%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -17.23%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -17.23%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -17.49%E -3.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.19%EV -18.41%E -2.67%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -14.02%E -2.83%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 16:58 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -23.14%E -3.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:01 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-17 17:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.55% | 2.8% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |