مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fenerbahce v Çaykur Rizespor

البداية: 2026-04-17 17:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fenerbahce 2–2 Çaykur Rizespor

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fenerbahce (المضيف)

التنبؤ 70.80%1.41السعر العادل
EV -4.41%
الأفضلية -3.27%
Kelly -12.61%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.67%70.78%71.04%73.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.241.291.301.3580.65%77.39%76.92%74.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Çaykur Rizespor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.82%8.46السعر العادل
EV +12.34%
الأفضلية +1.30%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.179%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.94%11.86%11.73%14.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.508.338.509.5015.38%12.00%11.76%10.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.37%5.76السعر العادل
EV +5.27%
الأفضلية +0.869%
Kelly +1.04%
النمو +0.055%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.74%17.37%17.23%19.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.365.506.0622.22%18.66%18.18%16.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +12.34%E +1.30%K +1.45%G +0.179%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +12.34%E +1.30%K +1.45%G +0.179%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.61%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.48%EV +8.79%E +0.955%K +1.07%G +0.094%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.91%EV +5.27%E +0.869%K +1.04%G +0.055%3.7%2026-04-17 16:59
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.63%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.57%EV +8.20%E +0.896%K +1.01%G +0.082%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.81%EV -5.68%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.37%E -7.32%K -33.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV +4.22%E +0.704%K +0.845%G +0.036%5.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:00
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 16:55
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:00
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:00
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:00
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:00
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 17:00
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 17:00
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 17:00
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 16:59
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.76%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:59
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -9.37%E -7.32%K -33.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -0.120%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 16:59
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 73.08%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001%7.7%2026-04-17 17:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 17:00
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.55%EV -4.81%E -0.598%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-17 17:00
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-17 17:00
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:59
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 16:59
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:59
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.83%E -4.85%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-17 16:59
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -8.36%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:00
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%EV -9.07%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.81%EV -3.77%E -0.680%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 16:59
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%EV -9.07%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.81%EV -3.77%E -0.680%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 16:59
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-17 16:59
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.81%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -12.50%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.52%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.38%EV -14.27%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -18.36%E -3.91%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -17.23%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:00
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -17.23%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -17.49%E -3.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.19%EV -18.41%E -2.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -14.02%E -2.83%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 16:58
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -23.14%E -3.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 17:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%0.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%0.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%0.3%2026-04-17 17:01
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-04-17 17:01
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.55%2.8%2026-04-17 17:00