La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Fenerbahce v Çaykur Rizespor
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fenerbahce (Casa)
Previsione 70.80%1.41quota equa
EV -4.41%
Vantaggio -3.27%
Kelly -12.61%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.67%70.78%71.04%73.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.291.301.3580.65%77.39%76.92%74.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Çaykur Rizespor (Trasferta)
Previsione 11.82%8.46quota equa
EV +12.34%
Vantaggio +1.30%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.179%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.94%11.86%11.73%14.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.508.338.509.5015.38%12.00%11.76%10.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 17.37%5.76quota equa
EV +5.27%
Vantaggio +0.869%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescita +0.055%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.06
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.74%17.37%17.23%19.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.365.506.0622.22%18.66%18.18%16.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +12.34%E +1.30%K +1.45%G +0.179% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +12.34%E +1.30%K +1.45%G +0.179% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -2.73%E -0.487%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.61%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.48%EV +8.79%E +0.955%K +1.07%G +0.094% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.91%EV +5.27%E +0.869%K +1.04%G +0.055% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.63%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.57%EV +8.20%E +0.896%K +1.01%G +0.082% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.81%EV -5.68%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -9.37%E -7.32%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV +4.22%E +0.704%K +0.845%G +0.036% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 16:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.90%EV -12.20%E -9.84%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV +6.42%E +0.714%K +0.803%G +0.052% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.36%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.25%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.76%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -9.37%E -7.32%K -33.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -0.120%E -0.021%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.08%EV -10.08%E -7.94%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV +0.511%E +0.060%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.54%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.05I 12.42%NM 11.55%EV -4.81%E -0.598%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.749%E +0.129%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -5.40%E -0.675%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.83%E -4.85%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.38%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV -8.36%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%EV -9.07%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.81%EV -3.77%E -0.680%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.11%EV -9.07%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.81%EV -3.77%E -0.680%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.95%E -6.12%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.49%E -9.20%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -11.31%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.81%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -12.50%E -1.69%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.52%EV -7.25%E -5.53%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.38%EV -14.27%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -18.36%E -3.91%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -6.54%E -4.95%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -17.23%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -17.23%E -2.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -17.49%E -3.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -5.83%E -4.38%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.19%EV -18.41%E -2.67%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -14.02%E -2.83%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 16:58 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -23.14%E -3.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.42% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 17:01 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-17 17:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.21% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.72% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.55% | 2.8% | 2026-04-17 17:00 |