语言:简体中文
Fatih Karagümrük v Fenerbahce
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fatih Karagümrük (主队)
预测 14.50%6.90公平赔率
EV +21.37%
优势 +2.55%
Kelly +2.90%
增长率 +0.620%
假设最高赔率为 8.37
博彩公司预测分布
11.11%14.18%14.33%15.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.706.636.508.3717.54%15.08%15.38%11.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fenerbahce (客队)
预测 64.08%1.56公平赔率
EV -3.88%
优势 -2.59%
Kelly -7.76%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
62.50%64.53%64.24%70.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.261.431.431.5079.37%70.14%69.93%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.42%4.67公平赔率
EV +7.96%
优势 +1.58%
Kelly +1.97%
增长率 +0.157%
假设最高赔率为 5.04
博彩公司预测分布
18.45%21.29%21.44%23.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.344.405.0426.67%23.03%22.73%19.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fatih Karagümrük (主队)：14.50%；Fenerbahce (客队)：64.08%；平局：21.42%。 对于“Fatih Karagümrük (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.90。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.37，对应+21.37%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.28%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV +13.10%E +1.68%K +1.93%G +0.253% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.74%EV +10.49%E +1.38%K +1.59%G +0.166% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.67%EV -4.04%E -0.901%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV +8.75%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +5.13%E +0.707%K +0.821%G +0.042% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.46%E -4.22%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -14.77%E -11.11%K -44.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -19.67%E -5.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.83%EV +1.21%E +0.174%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.80%EV -5.11%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.29%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 65.87%EV -19.26%E -15.29%K -74.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.84%EV -18.60%E -4.90%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.15%EV -2.70%E -0.403%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.57%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.47%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.96%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.19%EV -7.92%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.36%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -10.10%E -1.63%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.24%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.47%E -0.319%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.68%EV -13.72%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -4.52%E -3.03%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -14.45%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.84%EV -12.21%E -8.91%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.85%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -17.35%E -3.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.48%EV -9.65%E -6.84%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 0.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.29% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |