L’École des cotesFrançais
Fatih Karagümrük v Fenerbahce
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fatih Karagümrük (Local)
Prévision 14.50%6.90cote équitable
EV +21.37%
Avantage +2.55%
Kelly +2.90%
Croissance +0.620%
avec la cote maximale 8.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.11%14.18%14.33%15.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.706.636.508.3717.54%15.08%15.38%11.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fenerbahce (Visiteur)
Prévision 64.08%1.56cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -7.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%64.53%64.24%70.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.431.431.5079.37%70.14%69.93%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.42%4.67cote équitable
EV +7.96%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +1.97%
Croissance +0.157%
avec la cote maximale 5.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.45%21.29%21.44%23.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.344.405.0426.67%23.03%22.73%19.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| FanDuel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.28%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV +13.10%E +1.68%K +1.93%G +0.253% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.74%EV +10.49%E +1.38%K +1.59%G +0.166% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.67%EV -4.04%E -0.901%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV +8.75%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Everygame | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +5.13%E +0.707%K +0.821%G +0.042% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| BetUS | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.46%E -4.22%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -14.77%E -11.11%K -44.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -19.67%E -5.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.83%EV +1.21%E +0.174%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.80%EV -5.11%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Coolbet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Bovada | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.29%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 65.87%EV -19.26%E -15.29%K -74.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.84%EV -18.60%E -4.90%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| GTbets | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.15%EV -2.70%E -0.403%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.57%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.47%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 16:20 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Unibet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Grosvenor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Casumo | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| betPARX | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.96%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| BetRivers | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Bet Right | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| BoyleSports | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 16:49 |
| LeoVegas | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Fliff | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.19%EV -7.92%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.36%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -10.10%E -1.63%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.24%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.47%E -0.319%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Neds | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 16:49 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.68%EV -13.72%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -4.52%E -3.03%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -14.45%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.84%EV -12.21%E -8.91%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.85%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -17.35%E -3.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.48%EV -9.65%E -6.84%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 0.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.29% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |