La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Fatih Karagümrük v Fenerbahce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fatih Karagümrük (Local)
Predicción 14.50%6.90momio equitativo
EV +21.37%
Ventaja +2.55%
Kelly +2.90%
Crecimiento +0.620%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.11%14.18%14.33%15.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.706.636.508.3717.54%15.08%15.38%11.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fenerbahce (Visitante)
Predicción 64.08%1.56momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -2.59%
Kelly -7.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.53%64.24%70.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.431.431.5079.37%70.14%69.93%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.42%4.67momio equitativo
EV +7.96%
Ventaja +1.58%
Kelly +1.97%
Crecimiento +0.157%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.45%21.29%21.44%23.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.344.405.0426.67%23.03%22.73%19.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| FanDuel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.28%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV +13.10%E +1.68%K +1.93%G +0.253% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.74%EV +10.49%E +1.38%K +1.59%G +0.166% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.67%EV -4.04%E -0.901%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV +8.75%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Everygame | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +5.13%E +0.707%K +0.821%G +0.042% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| BetUS | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.46%E -4.22%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -14.77%E -11.11%K -44.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -19.67%E -5.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.83%EV +1.21%E +0.174%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.80%EV -5.11%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Coolbet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Bovada | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.29%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 65.87%EV -19.26%E -15.29%K -74.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.84%EV -18.60%E -4.90%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| GTbets | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.15%EV -2.70%E -0.403%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.57%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.47%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 16:20 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Unibet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Grosvenor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Casumo | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| betPARX | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.96%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 16:40 |
| BetRivers | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Bet Right | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| BoyleSports | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 16:49 |
| LeoVegas | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:44 |
| Fliff | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.19%EV -7.92%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.36%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -10.10%E -1.63%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.24%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.47%E -0.319%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Neds | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 16:49 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 16:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.68%EV -13.72%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -4.52%E -3.03%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -14.45%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.84%EV -12.21%E -8.91%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.85%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -17.35%E -3.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.48%EV -9.65%E -6.84%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-13 16:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 0.2% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.29% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.79% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |