A Escola das Odds

Fatih Karagümrük v Fenerbahce

Início: 2026-03-13 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (Local)

Previsão 14.50%6.90odd justa
EV +21.37%
Vantagem +2.55%
Kelly +2.90%
Crescimento +0.620%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.11%14.18%14.33%15.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.706.636.508.3717.54%15.08%15.38%11.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fenerbahce (Visitante)

Previsão 64.08%1.56odd justa
EV -3.88%
Vantagem -2.59%
Kelly -7.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.50%64.53%64.24%70.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.261.431.431.5079.37%70.14%69.93%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.42%4.67odd justa
EV +7.96%
Vantagem +1.58%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescimento +0.157%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.45%21.29%21.44%23.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.344.405.0426.67%23.03%22.73%19.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157%7.5%2026-03-13 15:00
NordicBet8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157%7.5%2026-03-13 15:00
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:55
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.28%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 16:50
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV +13.10%E +1.68%K +1.93%G +0.253%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:50
1xBet7.62I 13.12%NM 12.74%EV +10.49%E +1.38%K +1.59%G +0.166%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.67%EV -4.04%E -0.901%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-13 16:55
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV +8.75%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 16:50
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +5.13%E +0.707%K +0.821%G +0.042%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:45
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:44
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 16:55
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.46%E -4.22%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -14.77%E -11.11%K -44.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -19.67%E -5.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 16:55
Pinnacle6.98I 14.33%NM 13.83%EV +1.21%E +0.174%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.80%EV -5.11%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 16:45
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 16:45
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:45
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:44
Bovada6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 16:55
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 12.29%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 65.87%EV -19.26%E -15.29%K -74.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.84%EV -18.60%E -4.90%K -6.64%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-13 16:55
GTbets6.71I 14.90%NM 14.15%EV -2.70%E -0.403%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.57%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.47%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 16:20
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.96%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 16:40
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 16:44
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 16:54
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 16:49
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:45
LiveScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:44
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:44
Fliff6.35I 15.75%NM 14.19%EV -7.92%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.36%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 16:55
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -10.10%E -1.63%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.24%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.47%E -0.319%K -0.408%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:30
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 16:49
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:25
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:25
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:24
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 16:54
Marathon Bet5.95I 16.81%NM 15.68%EV -13.72%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -4.52%E -3.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:50
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -14.45%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.84%EV -12.21%E -8.91%K -33.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-13 16:54
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 16:55
Parions Sport (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.85%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 16:55
Winamax (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -17.35%E -3.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.48%EV -9.65%E -6.84%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-13 16:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%0.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Matchbook9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%0.4%2026-03-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-13 16:55
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34%3.0%2026-03-13 16:55