مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fatih Karagümrük v Fenerbahce

البداية: 2026-03-13 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (المضيف)

التنبؤ 14.50%6.90السعر العادل
EV +21.37%
الأفضلية +2.55%
Kelly +2.90%
النمو +0.620%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.11%14.18%14.33%15.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.706.636.508.3717.54%15.08%15.38%11.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fenerbahce (الضيف)

التنبؤ 64.08%1.56السعر العادل
EV -3.88%
الأفضلية -2.59%
Kelly -7.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.50%64.53%64.24%70.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.261.431.431.5079.37%70.14%69.93%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.42%4.67السعر العادل
EV +7.96%
الأفضلية +1.58%
Kelly +1.97%
النمو +0.157%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.45%21.29%21.44%23.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.344.405.0426.67%23.03%22.73%19.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157%7.5%2026-03-13 15:00
NordicBet8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157%7.5%2026-03-13 15:00
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:55
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.28%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 16:50
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV +13.10%E +1.68%K +1.93%G +0.253%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:50
1xBet7.62I 13.12%NM 12.74%EV +10.49%E +1.38%K +1.59%G +0.166%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.67%EV -4.04%E -0.901%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-13 16:55
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV +8.75%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 16:50
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +5.13%E +0.707%K +0.821%G +0.042%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:45
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:44
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 16:55
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.46%E -4.22%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -14.77%E -11.11%K -44.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -19.67%E -5.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 16:55
Pinnacle6.98I 14.33%NM 13.83%EV +1.21%E +0.174%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.80%EV -5.11%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 16:45
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 16:45
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:45
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:44
Bovada6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 16:55
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 12.29%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 65.87%EV -19.26%E -15.29%K -74.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.84%EV -18.60%E -4.90%K -6.64%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-13 16:55
GTbets6.71I 14.90%NM 14.15%EV -2.70%E -0.403%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.57%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.47%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 16:20
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.96%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 16:40
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 16:44
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 16:54
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 16:49
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:45
LiveScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:44
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:44
Fliff6.35I 15.75%NM 14.19%EV -7.92%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.36%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 16:55
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -10.10%E -1.63%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.24%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.47%E -0.319%K -0.408%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:30
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 16:49
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:25
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:25
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:24
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 16:54
Marathon Bet5.95I 16.81%NM 15.68%EV -13.72%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -4.52%E -3.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:50
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -14.45%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.84%EV -12.21%E -8.91%K -33.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-13 16:54
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 16:55
Parions Sport (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.85%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 16:55
Winamax (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -17.35%E -3.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.48%EV -9.65%E -6.84%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-13 16:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%0.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Matchbook9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%0.4%2026-03-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-13 16:55
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34%3.0%2026-03-13 16:55