Szkoła Kursów

Fatih Karagümrük v Fenerbahce

Początek: 2026-03-13 17:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 14.50%6.90kurs godziwy
EV +21.37%
Przewaga +2.55%
Kelly +2.90%
Wzrost +0.620%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.37

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.11%14.18%14.33%15.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.706.636.508.3717.54%15.08%15.38%11.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fenerbahce (Goście)

Prognoza 64.08%1.56kurs godziwy
EV -3.88%
Przewaga -2.59%
Kelly -7.76%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.50%64.53%64.24%70.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.261.431.431.5079.37%70.14%69.93%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 21.42%4.67kurs godziwy
EV +7.96%
Przewaga +1.58%
Kelly +1.97%
Wzrost +0.157%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.04

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.45%21.29%21.44%23.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.344.405.0426.67%23.03%22.73%19.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Betsson8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157%7.5%2026-03-13 15:00
NordicBet8.37I 11.95%NM 11.11%EV +21.37%E +2.55%K +2.90%G +0.620%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.44%EV -15.42%E -11.68%K -48.17%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.45%EV +7.96%E +1.58%K +1.97%G +0.157%7.5%2026-03-13 15:00
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.30%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:55
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +16.00%E +2.00%K +2.29%G +0.366%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.28%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 16:50
Tipico (DE)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV +13.10%E +1.68%K +1.93%G +0.253%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:50
1xBet7.62I 13.12%NM 12.74%EV +10.49%E +1.38%K +1.59%G +0.166%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.67%EV -4.04%E -0.901%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-13 16:55
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV +8.75%E +1.17%K +1.35%G +0.118%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 16:50
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +5.13%E +0.707%K +0.821%G +0.042%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:45
LowVig.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:44
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 16:55
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -16.46%E -4.22%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.30%EV +1.50%E +0.215%K +0.251%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 64.74%EV -14.77%E -11.11%K -44.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%EV -19.67%E -5.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 16:55
Pinnacle6.98I 14.33%NM 13.83%EV +1.21%E +0.174%K +0.203%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.37%EV -3.88%E -2.59%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.80%EV -5.11%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 16:45
Coolbet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.10%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 16:45
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:45
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:44
Bovada6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 16:55
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 12.29%EV -2.12%E -0.314%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 65.87%EV -19.26%E -15.29%K -74.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.84%EV -18.60%E -4.90%K -6.64%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-13 16:55
GTbets6.71I 14.90%NM 14.15%EV -2.70%E -0.403%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.57%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.47%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 16:20
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:44
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:45
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.96%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 16:40
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 16:44
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 16:54
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -5.75%E -0.884%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 16:49
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:45
LiveScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:44
Virgin Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -7.20%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:44
Fliff6.35I 15.75%NM 14.19%EV -7.92%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.36%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-13 16:55
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -10.10%E -1.63%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.24%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -1.47%E -0.319%K -0.408%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:30
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.16%E -3.49%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.08%E -4.89%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 16:49
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:25
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:25
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.36%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 16:24
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -13.00%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 16:54
Marathon Bet5.95I 16.81%NM 15.68%EV -13.72%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -4.52%E -3.03%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:50
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 14.82%EV -14.45%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.84%EV -12.21%E -8.91%K -33.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-13 16:54
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -8.37%E -5.85%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 16:55
Parions Sport (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -15.90%E -2.74%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.85%EV -9.01%E -6.34%K -21.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 16:55
Winamax (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -17.35%E -3.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.48%EV -9.65%E -6.84%K -23.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-13 16:54
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.34%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69%0.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Matchbook9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%0.4%2026-03-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-13 16:55
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34%3.0%2026-03-13 16:55