Language:English
Fatih Karagümrük v Alanyaspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fatih Karagümrük (Local)
Prediction 29.77%3.36fair odd
EV +0.021%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.01%29.94%29.70%32.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.053.3635.71%32.92%32.79%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alanyaspor (Visit)
Prediction 42.13%2.37fair odd
EV -0.153%
Edge -0.065%
Kelly -0.112%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.54%41.98%42.21%43.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.232.222.3752.36%44.85%45.05%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.10%3.56fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -0.657%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.87%28.08%28.09%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.323.5033.33%30.28%30.12%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fatih Karagümrük (Local): 29.77%; Alanyaspor (Visit): 42.13%; Draw: 28.10%. For Fatih Karagümrük (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.359. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.360, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.021%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.77%E -0.535%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -5.63%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -0.153%E -0.065%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.39%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.80%EV -4.79%E -2.12%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -5.63%E -2.51%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -7.74%E -3.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -7.74%E -3.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -7.12%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.08%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -6.14%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.04%EV -9.80%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV -8.58%E -3.95%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -19.53%E -10.23%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -1.84%E -0.789%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |