L’École des cotes

Fatih Karagümrük v Alanyaspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

Score final : Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Alanyaspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (Local)

Prévision 29.77%3.36cote équitable
EV +0.021%
Avantage +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.01%29.94%29.70%32.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.053.3635.71%32.92%32.79%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alanyaspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.13%2.37cote équitable
EV -0.153%
Avantage -0.065%
Kelly -0.112%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.54%41.98%42.21%43.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.232.222.3752.36%44.85%45.05%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.10%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.469%
Kelly -0.657%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.87%28.08%28.09%29.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.303.323.5033.33%30.28%30.12%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 13:50
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.77%E -0.535%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:45
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:55
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:55
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:45
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 13:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:50
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:30
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:55
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -5.63%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -0.153%E -0.065%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.39%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 13:55
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.80%EV -4.79%E -2.12%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 13:35
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -5.63%E -2.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -7.74%E -3.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -7.74%E -3.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:54
Betsson3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:45
NordicBet3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:45
GTbets3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -7.12%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.08%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -6.14%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:30
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:44
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 13:45
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 13:34
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 13:54
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 30.04%EV -9.80%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV -8.58%E -3.95%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:25
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -19.53%E -10.23%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-16 13:45
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 13:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:30
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:45
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:45
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 13:25
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:35
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -1.84%E -0.789%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 13:40
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 13:25
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:45
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:45
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-16 13:45