مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fatih Karagümrük v Alanyaspor

البداية: 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Alanyaspor

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.77%3.36السعر العادل
EV +0.021%
الأفضلية +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.01%29.94%29.70%32.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.043.053.3635.71%32.92%32.79%29.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alanyaspor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.13%2.37السعر العادل
EV -0.153%
الأفضلية -0.065%
Kelly -0.112%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.54%41.98%42.21%43.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.232.222.3752.36%44.85%45.05%42.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.10%3.56السعر العادل
EV -1.64%
الأفضلية -0.469%
Kelly -0.657%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.87%28.08%28.09%29.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.303.323.5033.33%30.28%30.12%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 13:50
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.77%E -0.535%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:45
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:55
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:55
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:45
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 13:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:50
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:30
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:55
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -5.63%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -0.153%E -0.065%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.39%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 13:55
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.80%EV -4.79%E -2.12%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 13:35
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -5.63%E -2.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -7.74%E -3.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -7.74%E -3.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:54
Betsson3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:45
NordicBet3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:45
GTbets3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -7.12%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.08%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -6.14%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:30
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:44
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 13:45
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 13:34
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 13:54
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 30.04%EV -9.80%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV -8.58%E -3.95%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:25
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -19.53%E -10.23%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-16 13:45
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 13:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:30
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:45
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:45
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 13:25
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:35
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -1.84%E -0.789%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 13:40
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 13:25
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:45
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:45
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-16 13:45