Школа коэффициентов

Fatih Karagümrük v Alanyaspor

Начало: 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

Итог: Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Alanyaspor

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Fatih Karagümrük (Хозяева)

Прогноз 29.77%3.36справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.021%
Преимущество +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.36

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.01%29.94%29.70%32.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.043.053.3635.71%32.92%32.79%29.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Alanyaspor (Гости)

Прогноз 42.13%2.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.153%
Преимущество -0.065%
Kelly -0.112%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.37

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.54%41.98%42.21%43.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.912.232.222.3752.36%44.85%45.05%42.19%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.10%3.56справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.64%
Преимущество -0.469%
Kelly -0.657%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.87%28.08%28.09%29.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.303.323.5033.33%30.28%30.12%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 13:50
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.77%E -0.535%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:45
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:55
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:55
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:45
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 13:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:50
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:30
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:55
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -5.63%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -0.153%E -0.065%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.39%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 13:55
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.80%EV -4.79%E -2.12%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 13:35
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -5.63%E -2.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -7.74%E -3.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -7.74%E -3.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 13:54
Betsson3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:45
NordicBet3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 13:45
GTbets3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -7.12%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.08%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -6.14%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:30
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:44
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 13:45
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 13:34
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 13:54
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 30.04%EV -9.80%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV -8.58%E -3.95%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:25
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -19.53%E -10.23%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-16 13:45
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 13:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:30
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:45
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:45
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 13:25
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:35
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:45
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -1.84%E -0.789%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 13:40
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 13:25
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:45
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:45
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:45
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-16 13:55
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-16 13:45