La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Fatih Karagümrük v Alanyaspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fatih Karagümrük (Local)
Predicción 29.77%3.36momio equitativo
EV +0.021%
Ventaja +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.01%29.94%29.70%32.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.3635.71%32.92%32.79%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alanyaspor (Visitante)
Predicción 42.13%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.153%
Ventaja -0.065%
Kelly -0.112%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.54%41.98%42.21%43.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.232.222.3752.36%44.85%45.05%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.10%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.469%
Kelly -0.657%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%28.08%28.09%29.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.323.5033.33%30.28%30.12%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.77%E -0.535%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.25%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.05%E -0.883%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.74%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -5.63%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.97%EV -0.153%E -0.065%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.39%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.80%EV -4.79%E -2.12%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -5.63%E -2.51%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -8.95%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Bovada | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -7.74%E -3.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.02%EV -7.74%E -3.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Betsson | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.71%EV -6.83%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.70%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| GTbets | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%EV -7.12%E -2.28%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.08%EV -6.47%E -2.92%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -6.14%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 13:44 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.72%E -2.49%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-16 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -9.21%E -3.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.53%E -5.49%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.88%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.04%EV -9.80%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.95%EV -8.58%E -3.95%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.64%E -0.469%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -10.70%E -3.57%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -19.53%E -10.23%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.01%EV -15.69%E -5.23%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.18%E -4.13%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.42%E -4.38%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.67%E -4.71%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.33%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -0.996%E -0.424%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.86%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -1.84%E -0.789%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -14.27%E -4.95%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.67%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -16.65%E -5.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |