The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Erzurum BB v Samsunspor

2026-09-20 14:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Erzurum BB (Local)

Prediction 36.18%2.76fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%36.20%36.12%36.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.552.6943.48%39.53%39.22%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsunspor (Visit)

Prediction 34.85%2.87fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.991%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.04%35.03%34.80%36.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.632.652.7942.55%38.09%37.74%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +0.556%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.98%28.77%29.08%29.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.243.223.5033.90%30.86%31.06%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Erzurum BB (Local): 36.18%; Samsunspor (Visit): 34.85%; Draw: 28.97%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -4.12%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV +1.39%E +0.397%K +0.556%G +0.008%4.8%2026-09-13 19:16
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -11.13%E -4.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -0.058%E -0.017%K -0.024%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -11.13%E -4.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.51%E -0.443%K -0.628%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:14
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:36
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:35
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:36
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:36
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:35
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.08%EV -2.67%E -0.994%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.78%EV -2.77%E -0.991%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV -3.53%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.13%E -4.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 19:15
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 19:16
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -8.83%E -3.50%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.79%EV -7.30%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:54
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -8.83%E -3.50%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.79%EV -7.30%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -4.12%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -6.14%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86%EV -4.85%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%EV -5.21%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86%EV -4.85%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%EV -5.21%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.74%E -3.04%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.03%EV -6.29%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.82%EV -6.60%E -2.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:41
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:16
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:21
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.36%E -4.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.36%E -4.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.36%E -4.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:36
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.36%E -4.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:36
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -11.36%E -4.64%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -11.13%E -4.36%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 14:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.75%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.69%E -3.32%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 15:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.69%E -3.32%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.69%E -3.32%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -13.17%E -5.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -14.62%E -5.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-13 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -13.17%E -5.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -16.36%E -6.82%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-13 14:16
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -13.17%E -5.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.77%EV -12.18%E -4.83%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.73%EV -11.65%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 14:18
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -13.17%E -5.49%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-13 14:16
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.25%EV -16.79%E -7.30%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.48%EV -18.10%E -7.70%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.27%EV -14.54%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%19.9%2026-09-13 14:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%2.44I 40.98%NM 35.20%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.02%16.4%2026-09-13 14:21