Language:English
Erzurum BB v Samsunspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Erzurum BB (Local)
Prediction 38.26%2.61fair odd
EV -0.531%
Edge -0.204%
Kelly -0.332%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.13%38.12%38.19%39.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.472.452.6045.45%40.53%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Samsunspor (Visit)
Prediction 31.57%3.17fair odd
EV -0.238%
Edge -0.075%
Kelly -0.110%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.99%31.71%31.52%34.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.872.903.1638.46%34.89%34.48%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.17%3.31fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.597%
Kelly -0.862%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%30.17%30.30%32.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.113.103.2535.71%32.18%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Erzurum BB (Local): 38.26%; Samsunspor (Visit): 31.57%; Draw: 30.17%. For Samsunspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.16, with an expected value of -0.238%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.04%EV -0.914%E -0.353%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.08%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.88%EV -3.15%E -0.980%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.08%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.61%EV -0.238%E -0.075%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.30%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.46%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -0.554%E -0.176%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.46%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -0.554%E -0.176%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.46%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -0.554%E -0.176%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -9.39%E -3.27%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 04:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 04:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 04:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 04:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 13:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.80%EV -5.89%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.20%EV -5.92%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.00%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.13%E -0.688%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -2.13%E -0.688%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.08%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48%EV -7.18%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.44%EV -8.28%E -2.72%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -13.10%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 13:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.59%EV -10.97%E -3.89%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.51%EV -11.90%E -4.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.94%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.55%EV -7.37%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 13:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.18%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -15.52%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-20 13:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -15.83%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.64% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11% | 2.1% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |