L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Erzurum BB v Samsunspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 14:00 UTC

Score final : Erzurum BB 1–0 Samsunspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Erzurum BB (Local)

Prévision 38.26%2.61cote équitable
EV -0.531%
Avantage -0.204%
Kelly -0.332%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.13%38.12%38.19%39.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.472.452.6045.45%40.53%40.82%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Samsunspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.57%3.17cote équitable
EV -0.238%
Avantage -0.075%
Kelly -0.110%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.99%31.71%31.52%34.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.872.903.1638.46%34.89%34.48%31.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.17%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.597%
Kelly -0.862%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%30.17%30.30%32.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.113.103.2535.71%32.18%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Erzurum BB (Local) : 38.26% ; Samsunspor (Visiteur) : 31.57% ; Match nul : 30.17%. Pour Samsunspor (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.17. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.16, pour une espérance de -0.238% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:24
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.04%EV -0.914%E -0.353%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.08%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.88%EV -3.15%E -0.980%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.08%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.61%EV -0.238%E -0.075%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.30%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.46%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -0.554%E -0.176%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.46%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -0.554%E -0.176%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 13:35
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.46%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -0.554%E -0.176%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 13:34
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 13:29
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -9.39%E -3.27%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 04:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 04:39
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.80%EV -5.89%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.20%EV -5.92%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.00%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 13:35
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 13:34
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:49
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.13%E -0.688%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 13:59
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -2.13%E -0.688%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 13:59
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.08%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48%EV -7.18%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.44%EV -8.28%E -2.72%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 13:55
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 13:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 13:29
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 13:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 13:59
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -13.10%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.59%EV -10.97%E -3.89%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.51%EV -11.90%E -4.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.94%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.55%EV -7.37%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 13:38
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.18%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 13:34
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -15.52%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -15.83%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 13:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-20 13:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.64%1.0%2026-09-20 13:35
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.1%2026-09-20 13:55