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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Erzurum BB v Samsunspor

2026-09-20 14:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Erzurum BB (主队)

预测 36.19%2.76公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -0.986%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.69

博彩公司预测分布
35.36%36.21%36.12%36.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.532.552.6943.48%39.52%39.22%37.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Samsunspor (客队)

预测 34.84%2.87公平赔率
EV -2.78%
优势 -0.998%
Kelly -1.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.79

博彩公司预测分布
34.04%35.03%34.80%36.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.632.652.7942.55%38.07%37.74%35.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.97%3.45公平赔率
EV +1.38%
优势 +0.395%
Kelly +0.553%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.98%28.76%29.08%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.243.243.5033.90%30.84%30.86%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Erzurum BB (主队)：36.19%；Samsunspor (客队)：34.84%；平局：28.97%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.45。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.50，由此产生+1.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV +1.38%E +0.395%K +0.553%G +0.008%4.8%2026-09-13 19:16
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -0.066%E -0.019%K -0.027%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.51%E -0.446%K -0.631%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:14
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.885%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.885%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:36
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.885%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.885%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:35
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.885%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.885%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:36
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.885%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.885%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:36
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.92%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.96%E -0.885%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 14:35
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.08%EV -2.65%E -0.986%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.78%EV -2.78%E -0.998%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 19:15
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 19:16
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -8.80%E -3.49%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.79%EV -7.31%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:54
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -8.80%E -3.49%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.79%EV -7.31%E -2.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -6.15%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -6.15%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.95%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV -6.15%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.72%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.18%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.03%EV -6.27%E -2.42%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.82%EV -6.62%E -2.47%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:41
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:16
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:21
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:36
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.40%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:36
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -11.34%E -4.63%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 14:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -5.91%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.66%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 15:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.53%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.71%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -13.15%E -5.48%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -14.63%E -5.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-13 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -13.15%E -5.48%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -16.37%E -6.82%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-13 14:16
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -13.15%E -5.48%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.77%EV -12.19%E -4.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.73%EV -11.65%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 14:18
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -13.15%E -5.48%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -12.89%E -5.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-13 14:16
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.25%EV -16.77%E -7.29%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.48%EV -18.12%E -7.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.27%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%19.9%2026-09-13 14:21
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 35.79%2.44I 40.98%NM 35.20%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.02%16.4%2026-09-13 14:21