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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Erzurum BB v Samsunspor

Início: 2026-09-20 14:00 UTC

Final: Erzurum BB 1–0 Samsunspor

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Erzurum BB (Local)

Previsão 38.26%2.61odd justa
EV -0.531%
Vantagem -0.204%
Kelly -0.332%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.13%38.12%38.19%39.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.472.452.6045.45%40.53%40.82%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Samsunspor (Visitante)

Previsão 31.57%3.17odd justa
EV -0.238%
Vantagem -0.075%
Kelly -0.110%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.99%31.71%31.52%34.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.872.903.1638.46%34.89%34.48%31.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.17%3.31odd justa
EV -1.94%
Vantagem -0.597%
Kelly -0.862%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.77%30.17%30.30%32.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.113.103.2535.71%32.18%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Erzurum BB (Local): 38.26%; Samsunspor (Visitante): 31.57%; Empate: 30.17%. Para Samsunspor (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.17. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.16, com valor esperado de -0.238%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:24
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -0.531%E -0.204%K -0.332%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -14.76%E -5.47%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 13:25
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.04%EV -0.914%E -0.353%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.08%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.88%EV -3.15%E -0.980%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.08%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.61%EV -0.238%E -0.075%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.30%EV -6.77%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.46%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -0.554%E -0.176%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.46%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -0.554%E -0.176%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 13:35
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.46%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -0.554%E -0.176%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 13:34
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 13:29
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -9.39%E -3.27%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 04:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 04:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 04:39
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -17.92%E -6.89%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.80%EV -5.89%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.20%EV -5.92%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.00%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 13:35
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 13:34
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:49
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -2.13%E -0.688%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 13:59
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.87%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.97%E -2.61%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -2.13%E -0.688%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 13:59
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.50%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.08%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48%EV -7.18%E -2.44%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.44%EV -8.28%E -2.72%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 13:55
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -10.99%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 13:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.45%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 13:29
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 13:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 13:59
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -5.29%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -13.10%E -4.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.60%E -4.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.96%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.59%EV -10.97%E -3.89%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.51%EV -11.90%E -4.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.94%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.08%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.55%EV -7.37%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 13:38
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.18%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -6.46%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 13:34
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -8.45%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -15.52%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.92%EV -15.83%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -10.03%E -3.52%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.48%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 13:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-20 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%1.0%2026-09-20 13:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.64%1.0%2026-09-20 13:35
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.1%2026-09-20 13:55