StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Thun v FC Lugano

Matchstart: 2026-04-25 18:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Thun (Hemma)

Prognos 48.88%2.05rättvist odds
EV -5.18%
Fördel -2.67%
Kelly -5.51%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.21%48.94%48.84%50.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.781.881.901.9456.18%53.13%52.63%51.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Lugano (Borta)

Prognos 26.86%3.72rättvist odds
EV -1.16%
Fördel -0.316%
Kelly -0.434%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.66%26.80%26.89%27.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.413.453.6832.26%29.30%28.99%27.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.27%4.12rättvist odds
EV -2.94%
Fördel -0.734%
Kelly -0.979%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.10%24.26%24.27%26.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.703.604.0030.30%27.02%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: FC Thun (Hemma): 48.88%; FC Lugano (Borta): 26.86%; Oavgjort: 24.27%. För FC Lugano (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.72. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.68, med väntevärdet -1.16%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.96%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:05
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.96%EV -1.43%E -0.390%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 07:34
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 06:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:35
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 19:05
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 06:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 07:45
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 19:01
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.69%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -1.16%E -0.316%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.65%EV -7.06%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.08%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:20
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:20
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 22:05
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:02
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:50
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 06:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.60%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:14
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 22:05
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 22:04
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:54
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 06:55
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 06:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 07:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -10.07%E -5.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 12:19
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 18:32
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -10.70%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:38
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 05:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.02%E -6.68%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 12:20
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.02%E -6.68%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.17%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 18:58
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%13.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%15.1%2026-04-24 03:50