L’École des cotesFC Thun v FC Lugano
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Thun (Local)
Prévision 48.88%2.05cote équitable
EV -5.18%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -5.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.21%48.94%48.84%50.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.881.901.9456.18%53.13%52.63%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Lugano (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.434%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.66%26.80%26.89%27.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.453.6832.26%29.30%28.99%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.27%4.12cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -0.979%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.10%24.26%24.27%26.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.604.0030.30%27.02%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.96%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.96%EV -1.43%E -0.390%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 07:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 06:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 06:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 07:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 19:01 |
| GTbets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.69%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -1.16%E -0.316%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.65%EV -7.06%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.08%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 19:02 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 06:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.60%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 22:04 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:54 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 06:55 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 06:55 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -10.07%E -5.47%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 18:32 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -10.70%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 18:38 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 05:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.02%E -6.68%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.02%E -6.68%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-18 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.17%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 18:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.01% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45% | 13.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57% | 15.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |