مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Thun v FC Lugano

البداية: 2026-04-25 18:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Thun (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.88%2.05السعر العادل
EV -5.18%
الأفضلية -2.67%
Kelly -5.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.21%48.94%48.84%50.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.881.901.9456.18%53.13%52.63%51.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Lugano (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.86%3.72السعر العادل
EV -1.16%
الأفضلية -0.316%
Kelly -0.434%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.66%26.80%26.89%27.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.413.453.6832.26%29.30%28.99%27.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.27%4.12السعر العادل
EV -2.94%
الأفضلية -0.734%
Kelly -0.979%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.10%24.26%24.27%26.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.703.604.0030.30%27.02%27.78%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 48.96%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:05
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.96%EV -1.43%E -0.390%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 07:34
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 06:24
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:35
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 19:05
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:19
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 06:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 07:45
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 19:01
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.69%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -1.16%E -0.316%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.65%EV -7.06%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 00:15
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.08%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 22:05
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:20
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:20
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 22:05
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:02
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:50
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 06:24
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 18:50
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.60%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:14
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 22:05
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 22:04
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:54
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 06:55
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 06:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 07:00
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -10.07%E -5.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 12:19
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 18:32
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -10.70%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:38
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 05:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.02%E -6.68%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 12:20
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.02%E -6.68%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.17%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 18:58
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%13.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%15.1%2026-04-24 03:50