A Escola das Odds

FC Thun v FC Lugano

Início: 2026-04-25 18:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Thun (Local)

Previsão 48.88%2.05odd justa
EV -5.18%
Vantagem -2.67%
Kelly -5.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.21%48.94%48.84%50.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.881.901.9456.18%53.13%52.63%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Lugano (Visitante)

Previsão 26.86%3.72odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.316%
Kelly -0.434%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.66%26.80%26.89%27.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.413.453.6832.26%29.30%28.99%27.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.27%4.12odd justa
EV -2.94%
Vantagem -0.734%
Kelly -0.979%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.10%24.26%24.27%26.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.703.604.0030.30%27.02%27.78%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 48.96%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:05
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.96%EV -1.43%E -0.390%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 07:34
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 06:24
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 22:35
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 19:05
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:19
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 06:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 07:45
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 19:01
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.69%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -1.16%E -0.316%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.65%EV -7.06%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 00:15
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.08%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 22:05
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:20
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:20
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 22:05
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 19:02
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:50
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 06:24
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 18:50
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.60%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 11:14
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 22:05
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 22:04
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:54
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 06:55
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 06:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 07:00
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -10.07%E -5.47%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 12:19
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 18:32
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -10.70%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:38
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 05:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-22 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.02%E -6.68%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 12:20
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.02%E -6.68%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.17%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 18:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%13.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%15.1%2026-04-24 03:50