La escuela de los momiosFC Thun v FC Lugano
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Thun (Local)
Predicción 48.88%2.05momio equitativo
EV -5.18%
Ventaja -2.67%
Kelly -5.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.21%48.94%48.84%50.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.881.901.9456.18%53.13%52.63%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Lugano (Visitante)
Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.316%
Kelly -0.434%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.66%26.80%26.89%27.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.413.453.6832.26%29.30%28.99%27.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.27%4.12momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -0.734%
Kelly -0.979%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.10%24.26%24.27%26.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.703.604.0030.30%27.02%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.96%EV -5.18%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.68%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.96%EV -1.43%E -0.390%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 07:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 06:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.67%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.16%E -3.21%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 06:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 07:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 19:01 |
| GTbets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.69%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -1.16%E -0.316%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.65%EV -7.06%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.08%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 19:02 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 06:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.11%E -4.32%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.60%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 22:04 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:54 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 06:55 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 06:55 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.58%E -5.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -10.07%E -5.47%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 18:32 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.74%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -10.70%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 18:38 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 05:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.02%E -6.68%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.02%E -6.68%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-18 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.17%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 18:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.01% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45% | 13.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57% | 15.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |