Language:English
FC Luzern v FC Zurich
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Luzern (Local)
Prediction 64.03%1.56fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.69%64.02%64.13%66.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.90%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Zurich (Visit)
Prediction 16.91%5.91fair odd
EV +4.84%
Edge +0.780%
Kelly +0.930%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.07%16.82%16.88%18.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.395.256.2022.22%18.56%19.05%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.06%5.25fair odd
EV -4.72%
Edge -0.944%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.24%19.16%18.99%22.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.634.605.0026.67%21.62%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Luzern (Local): 64.03%; FC Zurich (Visit): 16.91%; Draw: 19.06%. For FC Zurich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.91. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.25%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +4.84%E +0.780%K +0.930%G +0.045% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.25%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +4.84%E +0.780%K +0.930%G +0.045% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.70%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -7.58%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.26%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.87%EV -3.62%E -0.635%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV -7.77%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.06%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.29%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.65%EV -6.43%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 18:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.69%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.81%EV -11.63%E -8.43%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -8.69%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.52%EV -12.27%E -8.96%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -10.38%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:16 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -16.15%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 12:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -16.15%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.22%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.33%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -13.76%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -17.11%E -3.93%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.33%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -13.76%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -17.11%E -3.93%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -12.91%E -9.49%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.31%EV -10.99%E -7.91%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -17.14%E -3.50%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -18.84%E -3.92%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -17.49%E -4.04%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-12 18:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -23.91%E -5.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -28.54%E -7.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-12 18:16 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.67% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.5% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |