A Escola das Odds

FC Luzern v FC Zurich

Início: 2026-05-12 18:30 UTC

Final: FC Luzern 1–0 FC Zurich

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Luzern (Local)

Previsão 64.03%1.56odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.69%64.02%64.13%66.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.90%68.97%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Zurich (Visitante)

Previsão 16.91%5.91odd justa
EV +4.84%
Vantagem +0.780%
Kelly +0.930%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.07%16.82%16.88%18.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.395.256.2022.22%18.56%19.05%16.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 19.06%5.25odd justa
EV -4.72%
Vantagem -0.944%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.24%19.16%18.99%22.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.634.605.0026.67%21.62%21.74%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.25%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +4.84%E +0.780%K +0.930%G +0.045%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:25
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.25%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +4.84%E +0.780%K +0.930%G +0.045%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:26
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 65.70%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -7.58%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:25
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:26
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 18:25
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 18:15
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 18:25
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 18:24
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:25
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.26%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.87%EV -3.62%E -0.635%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV -7.77%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.06%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.29%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.65%EV -6.43%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-12 18:16
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 17:55
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:25
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:25
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.69%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:21
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.81%EV -11.63%E -8.43%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -8.69%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-12 18:25
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.52%EV -12.27%E -8.96%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -10.38%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:10
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:09
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:09
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:10
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:10
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:10
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:09
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:09
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 12:09
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:16
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -16.15%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 12:59
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -16.15%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 13:00
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.22%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 18:26
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.33%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -13.76%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -17.11%E -3.93%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-11 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.33%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -13.76%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -17.11%E -3.93%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-11 12:09
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:20
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 17:35
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -12.91%E -9.49%K -35.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-12 18:26
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.31%EV -10.99%E -7.91%K -28.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -17.14%E -3.50%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-12 18:26
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -18.84%E -3.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -17.49%E -4.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-12 18:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -23.91%E -5.31%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -28.54%E -7.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-12 18:16
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-05-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-05-12 18:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-05-12 18:26
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-05-12 18:26
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.67%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.5%2026-05-12 18:25