La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Luzern v FC Zurich
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Luzern (Local)
Predicción 64.03%1.56momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -3.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.69%64.02%64.13%66.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.90%68.97%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Zurich (Visitante)
Predicción 16.91%5.91momio equitativo
EV +4.84%
Ventaja +0.780%
Kelly +0.930%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.07%16.82%16.88%18.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.395.256.2022.22%18.56%19.05%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.06%5.25momio equitativo
EV -4.72%
Ventaja -0.944%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.24%19.16%18.99%22.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.634.605.0026.67%21.62%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.25%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +4.84%E +0.780%K +0.930%G +0.045% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.25%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +4.84%E +0.780%K +0.930%G +0.045% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.70%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -7.58%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:24 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| GTbets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.26%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.87%EV -3.62%E -0.635%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV -7.77%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.06%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.29%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.65%EV -6.43%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 18:16 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.69%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:21 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.81%EV -11.63%E -8.43%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -8.69%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.52%EV -12.27%E -8.96%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -10.38%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:16 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -16.15%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 12:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -16.15%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.22%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.33%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -13.76%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -17.11%E -3.93%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.33%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -13.76%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -17.11%E -3.93%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -12.91%E -9.49%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.31%EV -10.99%E -7.91%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -17.14%E -3.50%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -18.84%E -3.92%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -17.49%E -4.04%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-12 18:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -23.91%E -5.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -28.54%E -7.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-12 18:16 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Matchbook | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Smarkets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.67% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.5% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |