语言:简体中文
FC Luzern v FC Zurich
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
FC Luzern (主队)
预测 64.03%1.56公平赔率
EV -2.03%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -3.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.53
博彩公司预测分布
58.69%64.02%64.13%66.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.90%68.97%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
FC Zurich (客队)
预测 16.91%5.91公平赔率
EV +4.84%
优势 +0.780%
Kelly +0.930%
增长率 +0.045%
假设最高赔率为 6.20
博彩公司预测分布
15.07%16.82%16.88%18.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.395.256.2022.22%18.56%19.05%16.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.06%5.25公平赔率
EV -4.72%
优势 -0.944%
Kelly -1.18%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.24%19.16%18.99%22.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.634.605.0026.67%21.62%21.74%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Luzern (主队)：64.03%；FC Zurich (客队)：16.91%；平局：19.06%。 对于“FC Zurich (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.91。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.20，对应+4.84%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.25%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +4.84%E +0.780%K +0.930%G +0.045% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.25%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +4.84%E +0.780%K +0.930%G +0.045% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -9.71%E -6.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.70%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -7.58%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV +1.46%E +0.243%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.01%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -2.77%E -0.482%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.26%EV -2.67%E -1.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.87%EV -3.62%E -0.635%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.87%EV -7.77%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.06%EV -2.03%E -1.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.29%EV -5.65%E -1.01%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.65%EV -6.43%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 18:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -7.00%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.69%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.81%EV -11.63%E -8.43%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -8.69%E -1.61%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -8.53%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.52%EV -12.27%E -8.96%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -10.38%E -1.96%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:16 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -11.23%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -12.34%E -2.68%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -16.15%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 12:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -16.15%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.22%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -12.07%E -2.32%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -4.72%E -0.944%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.33%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -13.76%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -17.11%E -3.93%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.33%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.80%EV -13.76%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -17.11%E -3.93%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -14.25%E -3.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -12.91%E -9.49%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -15.45%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -9.48%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.31%EV -10.99%E -7.91%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -17.14%E -3.50%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -18.84%E -3.92%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -17.49%E -4.04%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-12 18:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -23.91%E -5.31%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -28.54%E -7.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-12 18:16 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.81% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.67% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.5% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |