Language:English
Varbergs BoIS v IFK Norrkoping
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Varbergs BoIS (Local)
Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.805%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%29.30%29.08%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.043.003.3436.36%32.87%33.33%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IFK Norrkoping (Visit)
Prediction 44.48%2.25fair odd
EV -0.803%
Edge -0.360%
Kelly -0.653%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.61%44.38%44.53%46.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.102.102.2351.81%47.69%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.38%3.79fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.883%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.02%26.33%26.40%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.503.7031.25%28.89%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 29.13%; IFK Norrkoping (Visit): 44.48%; Draw: 26.38%. For IFK Norrkoping (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -0.803%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.38%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.36%EV -7.03%E -3.36%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.26%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -14.15%E -7.33%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.83%EV -5.90%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.03%E -3.36%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -6.19%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -7.92%E -3.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-07 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-07 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.38%E -0.645%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-05 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.38%E -0.645%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.26%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -16.09%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.62%EV -9.70%E -4.78%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.61%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -11.62%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -19.88%E -7.23%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-08 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -19.88%E -7.23%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-08 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |