Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Varbergs BoIS v IFK Norrkoping

Início: 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC

Final: Varbergs BoIS 0–2 IFK Norrkoping

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Previsão 29.13%3.43odd justa
EV -2.69%
Vantagem -0.805%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.38%29.30%29.08%31.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.043.003.3436.36%32.87%33.33%29.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)

Previsão 44.48%2.25odd justa
EV -0.803%
Vantagem -0.360%
Kelly -0.653%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.61%44.38%44.53%46.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.102.102.2351.81%47.69%47.62%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.38%3.79odd justa
EV -2.38%
Vantagem -0.645%
Kelly -0.883%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.02%26.33%26.40%27.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.463.503.7031.25%28.89%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 29.13%; IFK Norrkoping (Visitante): 44.48%; Empate: 26.38%. Para IFK Norrkoping (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.25. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.23, com valor esperado de -0.803%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.38%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.36%EV -7.03%E -3.36%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.26%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:25
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:45
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -14.15%E -7.33%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 03:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:25
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:25
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 28.83%EV -5.90%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.03%E -3.36%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -6.19%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -7.92%E -3.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 19:20
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 16:49
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:14
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:25
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:20
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 12:43
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 12:35
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:25
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 17:05
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 09:04
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 09:05
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 19:25
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.38%E -0.645%K -0.883%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.38%E -0.645%K -0.883%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 20:35
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 12:40
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 12:40
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 12:40
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.26%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:26
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:26
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:26
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:55
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -16.09%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 17:00
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:26
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:26
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:25
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:26
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:25
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:25
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.62%EV -9.70%E -4.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-05 23:55
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.61%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -11.62%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 13:26
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -19.88%E -7.23%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-08 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -19.88%E -7.23%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-08 17:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%4.0%2026-09-09 17:40