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Varbergs BoIS v IFK Norrkoping
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Varbergs BoIS (Хозяева)
Прогноз 29.13%3.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.69%
Преимущество -0.805%
Kelly -1.15%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.34
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.38%29.30%29.08%31.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.043.003.3436.36%32.87%33.33%29.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
IFK Norrkoping (Гости)
Прогноз 44.48%2.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.803%
Преимущество -0.360%
Kelly -0.653%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.23
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.61%44.38%44.53%46.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.932.102.102.2351.81%47.69%47.62%44.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.38%3.79справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.38%
Преимущество -0.645%
Kelly -0.883%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.02%26.33%26.40%27.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.463.503.7031.25%28.89%28.57%27.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Varbergs BoIS (Хозяева): 29.13%; IFK Norrkoping (Гости): 44.48%; Ничья: 26.38%. Для исхода «IFK Norrkoping (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.25. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.23, математическое ожидание — -0.803%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.38%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.36%EV -7.03%E -3.36%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.26%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -14.15%E -7.33%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.83%EV -5.90%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.03%E -3.36%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -6.19%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -7.92%E -3.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-07 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-07 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.38%E -0.645%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-05 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.38%E -0.645%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.26%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -16.09%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.62%EV -9.70%E -4.78%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.61%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -11.62%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -19.88%E -7.23%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-08 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -19.88%E -7.23%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-08 17:24 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |