Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Varbergs BoIS v IFK Norrkoping

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC

Score final : Varbergs BoIS 0–2 IFK Norrkoping

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prévision 29.13%3.43cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -0.805%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.38%29.30%29.08%31.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.003.3436.36%32.87%33.33%29.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Norrkoping (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.48%2.25cote équitable
EV -0.803%
Avantage -0.360%
Kelly -0.653%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.61%44.38%44.53%46.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.102.102.2351.81%47.69%47.62%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.38%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -0.883%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.02%26.33%26.40%27.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.463.503.7031.25%28.89%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Varbergs BoIS (Local) : 29.13% ; IFK Norrkoping (Visiteur) : 44.48% ; Match nul : 26.38%. Pour IFK Norrkoping (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.25. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.23, pour une espérance de -0.803% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.38%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.36%EV -7.03%E -3.36%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.26%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:25
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 10:45
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -14.15%E -7.33%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 03:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:25
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:25
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 28.83%EV -5.90%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.03%E -3.36%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -6.19%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -7.92%E -3.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 19:20
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 16:49
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:14
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:25
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:20
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 12:43
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 12:35
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:25
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 17:05
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 09:04
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 09:05
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 19:25
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.38%E -0.645%K -0.883%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.38%E -0.645%K -0.883%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 20:35
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 12:40
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 12:40
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 12:40
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.26%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:26
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:26
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:26
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:55
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -16.09%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 17:00
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:26
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:26
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:25
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:26
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:25
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 13:25
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.62%EV -9.70%E -4.78%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-05 23:55
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.61%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -11.62%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 13:26
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -19.88%E -7.23%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-08 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -19.88%E -7.23%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-08 17:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%4.0%2026-09-09 17:40