Idioma:Español
Varbergs BoIS v IFK Norrkoping
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Varbergs BoIS (Local)
Predicción 29.13%3.43momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.38%29.30%29.08%31.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.043.003.3436.36%32.87%33.33%29.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)
Predicción 44.48%2.25momio equitativo
EV -0.803%
Ventaja -0.360%
Kelly -0.653%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.61%44.38%44.53%46.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.102.102.2351.81%47.69%47.62%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.38%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.883%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.02%26.33%26.40%27.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.463.503.7031.25%28.89%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 29.13%; IFK Norrkoping (Visitante): 44.48%; Empate: 26.38%. Para IFK Norrkoping (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.25. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.23, con un valor esperado de -0.803%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.38%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.36%EV -7.03%E -3.36%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.26%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -14.15%E -7.33%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.29%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.83%EV -5.90%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -7.03%E -3.36%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -6.19%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.76%EV -7.92%E -3.83%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-07 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -15.58%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-07 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.38%E -0.645%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-05 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.38%E -0.645%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.26%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -0.803%E -0.360%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.34%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.05%E -4.76%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -15.51%E -5.35%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -5.02%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -16.09%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -16.97%E -5.95%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.62%EV -9.70%E -4.78%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.61%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -11.62%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 13:26 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -19.88%E -7.23%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-08 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -19.88%E -7.23%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.94%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-08 17:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |