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Nordic United FC v IFK Värnamo

2026-09-09 17:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prediction 42.82%2.34fair odd
EV -6.66%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -5.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.18%42.82%42.82%43.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.112.082.1849.50%47.39%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visit)

Prediction 30.94%3.23fair odd
EV -5.62%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.66%30.94%30.94%31.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.952.953.0535.09%33.84%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.73%26.24%26.24%26.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.513.503.6529.41%28.48%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nordic United FC (Local): 42.82%; IFK Värnamo (Visit): 30.94%; Draw: 26.24%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.65, with an expected value of -4.23%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -6.66%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.78%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 07:00
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -6.66%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 06:50
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -6.66%E -3.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 06:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -7.51%E -3.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 06:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -7.51%E -3.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -7.51%E -3.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -7.51%E -3.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 06:50
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -9.23%E -4.35%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -11.81%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 06:50
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -10.94%E -5.26%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 06:45
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -10.94%E -5.26%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 06:45
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -10.94%E -5.26%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -10.94%E -5.26%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 06:45
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -10.94%E -5.26%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 06:45
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -10.94%E -5.26%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -8.71%E -2.95%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 06:50
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.26%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-03 06:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -13.51%E -6.69%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.81%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-03 06:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -13.51%E -6.69%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.81%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-03 06:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.