Language:English
Nordic United FC v IFK Värnamo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nordic United FC (Local)
Prediction 47.41%2.11fair odd
EV -0.443%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.403%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.52%47.42%47.38%51.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.961.952.1056.50%50.92%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IFK Värnamo (Visit)
Prediction 27.73%3.61fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.391%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%27.73%27.70%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.263.253.5733.90%30.70%30.77%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.437%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.16%24.85%24.92%26.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.9729.41%27.53%27.78%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nordic United FC (Local): 47.41%; IFK Värnamo (Visit): 27.73%; Draw: 24.86%. For Nordic United FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.443%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.53%EV -0.917%E -0.439%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.40%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 16:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.62%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -1.30%E -0.327%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -18.20%E -6.17%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -18.20%E -6.17%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:11 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -1.00%E -0.281%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -8.76%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -8.98%E -4.68%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.30%E -6.65%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.24%E -7.24%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -14.04%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -13.72%E -7.54%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -16.09%E -9.09%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |