Idioma:Español
Nordic United FC v IFK Värnamo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nordic United FC (Local)
Predicción 47.41%2.11momio equitativo
EV -0.443%
Ventaja -0.211%
Kelly -0.403%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.52%47.42%47.38%51.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.771.961.952.1056.50%50.92%51.28%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
IFK Värnamo (Visitante)
Predicción 27.73%3.61momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.281%
Kelly -0.391%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%27.73%27.70%29.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.263.253.5733.90%30.70%30.77%28.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.86%4.02momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.327%
Kelly -0.437%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.16%24.85%24.92%26.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.633.603.9729.41%27.53%27.78%25.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nordic United FC (Local): 47.41%; IFK Värnamo (Visitante): 27.73%; Empate: 24.86%. Para Nordic United FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.11. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.10, con un valor esperado de -0.443%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.53%EV -0.917%E -0.439%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.40%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 16:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.62%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -1.30%E -0.327%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -18.20%E -6.17%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -18.20%E -6.17%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:11 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 16:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -1.00%E -0.281%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -8.76%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -8.98%E -4.68%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.30%E -6.65%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.24%E -7.24%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -14.04%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -13.72%E -7.54%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -16.09%E -9.09%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |