StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nordic United FC v IFK Värnamo

Matchstart: 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Nordic United FC 2–4 IFK Värnamo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nordic United FC (Hemma)

Prognos 47.41%2.11rättvist odds
EV -0.443%
Fördel -0.211%
Kelly -0.403%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.52%47.42%47.38%51.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.771.961.952.1056.50%50.92%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Borta)

Prognos 27.73%3.61rättvist odds
EV -1.00%
Fördel -0.281%
Kelly -0.391%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.81%27.73%27.70%29.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.953.263.253.5733.90%30.70%30.77%28.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.86%4.02rättvist odds
EV -1.30%
Fördel -0.327%
Kelly -0.437%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.97

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.16%24.85%24.92%26.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.633.603.9729.41%27.53%27.78%25.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nordic United FC (Hemma): 47.41%; IFK Värnamo (Borta): 27.73%; Oavgjort: 24.86%. För Nordic United FC (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.11. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.10, med väntevärdet -0.443%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.53%EV -0.917%E -0.439%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.40%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:11
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:41
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:41
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:41
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:40
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 16:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 16:15
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.62%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -1.30%E -0.327%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 16:51
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -18.20%E -6.17%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -18.20%E -6.17%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 16:41
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:54
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 16:21
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 16:51
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:10
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:11
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:11
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -1.00%E -0.281%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -8.76%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -8.98%E -4.68%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 16:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.30%E -6.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 16:31
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.24%E -7.24%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -14.04%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-09 16:56
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -13.72%E -7.54%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -16.09%E -9.09%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:56
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56