Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nordic United FC v IFK Värnamo

Início: 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 2–4 IFK Värnamo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Previsão 47.41%2.11odd justa
EV -0.443%
Vantagem -0.211%
Kelly -0.403%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.52%47.42%47.38%51.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.961.952.1056.50%50.92%51.28%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IFK Värnamo (Visitante)

Previsão 27.73%3.61odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.281%
Kelly -0.391%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.81%27.73%27.70%29.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.263.253.5733.90%30.70%30.77%28.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.86%4.02odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.327%
Kelly -0.437%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.16%24.85%24.92%26.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.633.603.9729.41%27.53%27.78%25.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nordic United FC (Local): 47.41%; IFK Värnamo (Visitante): 27.73%; Empate: 24.86%. Para Nordic United FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.11. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.10, com valor esperado de -0.443%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.53%EV -0.917%E -0.439%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.40%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:11
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:41
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:41
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:41
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:40
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 16:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 16:15
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.62%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -1.30%E -0.327%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 16:51
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -18.20%E -6.17%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -18.20%E -6.17%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 16:41
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:54
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 16:21
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 16:51
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:10
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:11
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:11
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -1.00%E -0.281%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -8.76%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -8.98%E -4.68%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 16:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.30%E -6.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 16:31
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.24%E -7.24%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -14.04%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-09 16:56
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -13.72%E -7.54%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -16.09%E -9.09%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:56
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56