Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nordic United FC v IFK Värnamo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC

Score final : Nordic United FC 2–4 IFK Värnamo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prévision 47.41%2.11cote équitable
EV -0.443%
Avantage -0.211%
Kelly -0.403%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.52%47.42%47.38%51.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.961.952.1056.50%50.92%51.28%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.73%3.61cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.281%
Kelly -0.391%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%27.73%27.70%29.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.263.253.5733.90%30.70%30.77%28.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.86%4.02cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.327%
Kelly -0.437%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.16%24.85%24.92%26.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.603.9729.41%27.53%27.78%25.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nordic United FC (Local) : 47.41% ; IFK Värnamo (Visiteur) : 27.73% ; Match nul : 24.86%. Pour Nordic United FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.11. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.10, pour une espérance de -0.443% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -0.443%E -0.211%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.53%EV -0.917%E -0.439%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.40%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -9.25%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:11
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:41
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:41
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -15.42%E -5.06%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:41
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:40
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.52%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -16.81%E -5.60%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -14.22%E -4.12%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 16:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 16:15
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -11.74%E -3.31%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.62%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.38%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -1.30%E -0.327%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 16:51
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -18.20%E -6.17%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.63%EV -7.08%E -3.61%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.65%EV -18.20%E -6.17%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 16:41
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:54
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 16:21
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -7.11%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -15.47%E -4.55%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 16:51
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:10
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:11
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 16:11
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.26%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.23%EV -1.00%E -0.281%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -8.76%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -8.03%E -4.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.72%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.01%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -8.98%E -4.68%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 16:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.77%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.30%E -6.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.88%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 16:31
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.24%E -7.24%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -14.04%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.98%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-09 16:56
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -13.72%E -7.54%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -16.09%E -9.09%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -2.95%E -0.842%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -3.04%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-09 16:56