Language:English
IFK Värnamo v Varbergs BoIS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Prediction 39.78%2.51fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.73%39.76%39.80%40.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.322.4046.51%43.32%43.10%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Varbergs BoIS (Visit)
Prediction 33.12%3.02fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -0.834%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.93%33.11%33.12%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9738.46%36.41%36.36%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.19%27.13%27.08%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.403.5531.25%29.70%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Värnamo (Local): 39.78%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 33.12%; Draw: 27.10%. For Varbergs BoIS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.97, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 12:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 13:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.81%EV -6.92%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.80%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.88%EV -7.32%E -3.14%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -2.31%E -0.782%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.78%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 07:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.88%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.94%EV -1.64%E -0.553%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.18%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.61%E -2.34%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 06:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 11:07 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 11:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-02 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -9.30%E -4.08%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 11:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -5.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -5.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-03 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-03 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -14.48%E -6.73%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-31 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.05% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.24% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |