Idioma:Español
IFK Värnamo v Varbergs BoIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Predicción 39.78%2.51momio equitativo
EV -4.53%
Ventaja -1.89%
Kelly -3.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.73%39.76%39.80%40.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.312.322.4046.51%43.32%43.10%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)
Predicción 33.12%3.02momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.553%
Kelly -0.834%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.93%33.11%33.12%34.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.752.752.9738.46%36.41%36.36%33.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.10%3.69momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.19%27.13%27.08%28.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.373.403.5531.25%29.70%29.41%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IFK Värnamo (Local): 39.78%; Varbergs BoIS (Visitante): 33.12%; Empate: 27.10%. Para Varbergs BoIS (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.02. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.97, con un valor esperado de -1.64%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 12:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 13:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.81%EV -6.92%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.80%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.88%EV -7.32%E -3.14%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -2.31%E -0.782%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.78%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 07:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.88%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.94%EV -1.64%E -0.553%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.18%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.61%E -2.34%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 06:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 11:07 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 11:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-02 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -9.30%E -4.08%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 11:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -5.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-03 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -5.06%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-03 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-03 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -14.48%E -6.73%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-31 21:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.05% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.24% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |