StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Värnamo v Varbergs BoIS

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 11:00 UTC

Slutresultat: IFK Värnamo 1–1 Varbergs BoIS

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Värnamo (Hemma)

Prognos 39.78%2.51rättvist odds
EV -4.53%
Fördel -1.89%
Kelly -3.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.73%39.76%39.80%40.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.312.322.4046.51%43.32%43.10%41.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Varbergs BoIS (Borta)

Prognos 33.12%3.02rättvist odds
EV -1.64%
Fördel -0.553%
Kelly -0.834%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.97

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.93%33.11%33.12%34.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.752.752.9738.46%36.41%36.36%33.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.10%3.69rättvist odds
EV -3.78%
Fördel -1.06%
Kelly -1.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.19%27.13%27.08%28.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.373.403.5531.25%29.70%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: IFK Värnamo (Hemma): 39.78%; Varbergs BoIS (Borta): 33.12%; Oavgjort: 27.10%. För Varbergs BoIS (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.02. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.97, med väntevärdet -1.64%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 13:04
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:09
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 11:00
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 13:09
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 13:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:00
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 13:33
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.81%EV -6.92%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.80%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.88%EV -7.32%E -3.14%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -2.31%E -0.782%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.78%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:40
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.88%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.94%EV -1.64%E -0.553%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.18%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:05
BetUS🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:10
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.61%E -2.34%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:04
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 11:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 06:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 11:05
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 11:07
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 11:05
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 00:50
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -9.30%E -4.08%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 12:05
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 13:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 11:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -5.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-03 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -5.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-03 12:04
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -14.48%E -6.73%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-31 21:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.05%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%7.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%7.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%8.9%2026-09-04 12:25