Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Värnamo v Varbergs BoIS

Início: 2026-09-05 11:00 UTC

Final: IFK Värnamo 1–1 Varbergs BoIS

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Previsão 39.78%2.51odd justa
EV -4.53%
Vantagem -1.89%
Kelly -3.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.73%39.76%39.80%40.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.312.322.4046.51%43.32%43.10%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)

Previsão 33.12%3.02odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.553%
Kelly -0.834%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.93%33.11%33.12%34.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.752.752.9738.46%36.41%36.36%33.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.10%3.69odd justa
EV -3.78%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.19%27.13%27.08%28.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.373.403.5531.25%29.70%29.41%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IFK Värnamo (Local): 39.78%; Varbergs BoIS (Visitante): 33.12%; Empate: 27.10%. Para Varbergs BoIS (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.02. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.97, com valor esperado de -1.64%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 13:04
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:09
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 11:00
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 13:09
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 13:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:00
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 13:33
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.81%EV -6.92%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.80%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.88%EV -7.32%E -3.14%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -2.31%E -0.782%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.78%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:40
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.88%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.94%EV -1.64%E -0.553%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.18%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:05
BetUS🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:10
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.61%E -2.34%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:04
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 11:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 06:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 11:05
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 11:07
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 11:05
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 00:50
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -9.30%E -4.08%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 12:05
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 13:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 11:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -5.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-03 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -5.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-03 12:04
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -14.48%E -6.73%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-31 21:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.05%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%7.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%7.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%8.9%2026-09-04 12:25