Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Värnamo v Varbergs BoIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 11:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Värnamo 1–1 Varbergs BoIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Prévision 39.78%2.51cote équitable
EV -4.53%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -3.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.73%39.76%39.80%40.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.312.322.4046.51%43.32%43.10%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.12%3.02cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.553%
Kelly -0.834%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.93%33.11%33.12%34.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.752.752.9738.46%36.41%36.36%33.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.19%27.13%27.08%28.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.373.403.5531.25%29.70%29.41%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IFK Värnamo (Local) : 39.78% ; Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur) : 33.12% ; Match nul : 27.10%. Pour Varbergs BoIS (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.02. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.97, pour une espérance de -1.64% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -4.53%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 13:04
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:09
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 11:00
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 13:09
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 13:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:00
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.52%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 13:33
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.81%EV -6.92%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.80%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.88%EV -7.32%E -3.14%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -2.31%E -0.782%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.78%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:40
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.88%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.94%EV -1.64%E -0.553%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.18%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:05
BetUS🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:10
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.46%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.93%EV -2.64%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.61%E -2.34%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:04
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -7.71%E -3.32%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 11:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 06:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 11:05
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.93%E -3.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 11:07
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 11:05
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.51%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 00:50
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -9.30%E -4.08%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -12.24%E -4.62%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 12:05
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 09:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 13:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.90%E -4.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 11:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -5.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-03 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -5.06%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-03 12:04
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.90%E -5.34%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -14.48%E -6.73%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-31 21:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.05%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%7.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%7.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%8.9%2026-09-04 12:25